Inflation and Asset Prices

Service-as-a-Software: A quiet AI-revolution has begun in SMEs. Plus following up on the QRA

Second Wave or Bump in the Road?: Checking in on US inflation

On Private Credit: Why it is not a bubble. Plus how I've decided to hedge for the still existing Q2 risks

A Dovish Powell: Implications from a very important FOMC meeting. How I adjusted my asset allocation, including Gold, Gold Miners, FTSE 100, Nasdaq, Dow Jones and Tesla

Is the S-Word in the Room?: A brief market update

On Liquidity: A forecast for the coming quarter and the remainder of the year

February Inflation : Important considerations for one of the most pivotal datapoints of the year

Is MMT the answer?: A brief critique on a controversial theory

Front and Back of Mind: A brief check-in on capital markets

Labor Day: Has the path been decided? Plus why I have added long US Industrials, short REITs

Hawks and Supply: Reviewing yesterday's two important events, the Fed and the QRA

Is the Honeymoon Over?: Several signs point to an end of immaculate US disinflation

Housing vs Disinflation: The key battle for the future of the US economy. Plus some more on China

Two Pivotal Events: Both monetary and fiscal policy is facing big decisions next week

On Blind Spots: Why I've bought Chinese equities today

Capital vs Labor (Pt. 3): More signs that the corporate margin crush is underway, and a silver lining for employees

On Complacency: Why volatility has likely made a low here

Rorschach Tests : On personal biases, and how to avoid them

2024: The Recession Year?: Why the odds are high and what it means for markets

Be Fearful When Others Are Greedy: Why the Fed is likely right to worry about growth

Always Reflexivity : Why the slowdown consensus for 2024 suggests economic re-acceleration is the most likely case

The Wall of Money: A brief follow up to yesterday's post

The Most Important Chart for 2024: What the Fed's dovish decision has to do with it, and why I favor commodities at this stage

The Playbook: Ten high probability assumptions, and how they line up to a constructive outlook for early '24