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Bear Force 1

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Sector Shorts
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Picture of Bear Force 1
Replying to @Fabricated Knowledge

@_fabknowledge_ And there you have it

Fabricated Knowledge
If AMD event isn’t sell the news we are officially in a new bozo market

June 13, 2023, 6:35 p.m.

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Incredible that there's more information conveyed about this foray and this decision in an Information article than there ever was to....you know, owners of the business, over the last 2 years $SHOP

Bear Force 1
…it is quite something to both test/build your biggest bet and then divest it without telling your owners what success looks like, and subsequently why you decided not to scale the bet. There is so much about $SHOP’s financial contours & future that goes totally uncommunicated.

June 13, 2023, 4:58 p.m.

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What's missing here is the lowly CPU. It's gonna cook people if we find out on-chip acceleration at the edge is a perfectly fine and power-efficient inference solution for a bunch of AI use cases. Not a definitive statement of course; too early to tell.

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June 12, 2023, 5:35 p.m.

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Narrative violations everywhere if you merely look at the data in lieu of ingesting sweeping statements on earnings calls, shareholder letters, and product releases $ABNB

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Bear Force 1
Every $ABNB bull case seems to be built on this willful denial of the fact that it’s an OTA with a bounded TAM and a lot of SBC, and not something more magical than that

June 12, 2023, 3:29 p.m.

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Oh good we’ve largely worked down excess home improvement consumption. * checks methodology: Assumes normalized unit growth is…5.3% annualized. Assumes 29% cumulative inflation drives no elasticity impact.

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Bear Force 1
I don't know who needs to hear this but that is not a bear case
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June 12, 2023, 12:38 p.m.

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Replying to @Fabricated Knowledge

@_fabknowledge_ Just pretending like everyone else

Fabricated Knowledge
@BearForce_Won you're kind of scary good at this shit given you're a finance guy (respectfully)

June 12, 2023, 1:34 a.m.

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Replying to @Fabricated Knowledge

@_fabknowledge_ DTCOFTW

Fabricated Knowledge
Thinking about scaling in simple shrink is so dated. Wholistically the future of semis is systems level: Power improvement with BSPDN, cell improvement w/ design improvements, packaging improvement with HB, and some slight shrink. The future is very confusing #VLSI2023

June 12, 2023, 12:03 a.m.

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Maybe they didn’t have any gas left in the tank after a triumph like this. But goddamn what could have been.

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June 11, 2023, 8:23 p.m.

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The best in this business spout off an investment case that makes you salivate. Then they'll warn you they might be full of shit. The verbal output of thinking in probabilities. There are people on this platform who speak in certainties about ~everything. They are charlatans.

June 8, 2023, 3:09 p.m.

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Don't be that guy today

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June 5, 2023, 7:22 p.m.

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Replying to @Fabricated Knowledge

@_fabknowledge_ Think N3 is already technically in HVM. “Sizable” revenue contribution in Q3. N3E slated for 2H23. And N2 is 2H25.

Fabricated Knowledge
@BearForce_Won this look right ?

June 5, 2023, 5:19 p.m.

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Replying to @Fabricated Knowledge

@_fabknowledge_ About right

Fabricated Knowledge
does this look right (i am dumb and need help twitter thank you)

June 5, 2023, 5:04 p.m.

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This makes a lot of sense in retrospect

Bear Force 1
Todd McKinnon could not possibly sound less excited about being very excited about the future of $OKTA
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June 1, 2023, 12:35 a.m.

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Jamie is that guy but not sure he’d want an endorsement from the dude that thought Vivek Ramaswamy would be a good POTUS based on nothing. Especially not an endorsement that appears to be the result of one’s brain taking an enema.

Bill Ackman
Jamie Dimon is one of the world's most respected business leaders. Politically he is a centrist. He is pro-business and pro-free enterprise, but also supportive of well-designed social programs and rational tax policies that can help the less fortunate. He is extremely smart,…

May 31, 2023, 6:22 p.m.

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The Tom Greco era $AAP

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Bear Force 1
Tom Greco was supposed to save AAP with his supply chain prowess because he ran Frito-Lay NA, where he came up as…a sales guy. This really has not worked at all. The company seems adrift, he’s prob been in the seat a couple years too long, board is vulnerable.

May 31, 2023, 2:02 p.m.

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Yes yes of course, the AI will build the fulfillment centers with magic GPU beans

phyron
"You'll never go to a search site again," Gates said. "You'll never go to Amazon."
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May 29, 2023, 8:29 p.m.

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Evergreen

Bear Force 1
Feels like every time a retailer starts to miss numbers the playbook is to talk louder about organized crime driving shrink

May 27, 2023, 12:22 a.m.

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🤔Watch what they do not what they say $RH

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May 25, 2023, 8:13 p.m.

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Intel has underperformed the SOX by nearly 30% and its compute peers by a multiple of that since being commonly deemed as the best cyclical recovery story in semis

May 25, 2023, 3:48 p.m.

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Still true

Bear Force 1
Amusing to see people opine on $NVDA quarter using yoy growth rates. No position.

May 25, 2023, 1:07 a.m.

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Replying to @xefyr

@wrathofrasputin JH gets a lifetime pass. Dude is telling you CPU is dead and it’s mildly credible. That is a feat.

xefyr
@BearForce_Won Look we didn't question Omniverse even though that was batshit insane. Until I see a Jensen statue in Santa Clara Square, he gets a pass. Maybe.

May 24, 2023, 10:25 p.m.

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Jensen giving off these vibes while XYZ portfolio manager thinks to himself “this makes perfect sense”

modest proposal
If i were nadella i would make up product names and be like today i want to talk to you about Power Edge App, the leading smart edge cloud for the modernizing network. Everyone would nod in agreement, while just waiting for Amy Hood to give guidance.

May 24, 2023, 10:13 p.m.

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Still true

Bear Force 1
I know $NVDA is way ahead in massive parallelization because Collette has always seemed powered by AI

May 24, 2023, 9:14 p.m.

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I don't know who needs to hear this but that is not a bear case

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May 23, 2023, 3:55 p.m.

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Never forget

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coloradotravis 👹
I am once again begging people in tech to learn wtf banks actually are.

May 22, 2023, 11:14 p.m.

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