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Tom Marzec-Manser

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Chartist
Financial Analyst

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Sector Energy
Content Type Commentary
Website Twitter
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Average Rating 8.0
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Twitter Update

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Retweeted post by @Joachim Moxon
Joachim Moxon
Japan began restarting its nuclear power plants in 2015 and has so far brought ten reactors back into operation It has not always been a straight path, and 2019 still stands as the record year in terms of nuclear output. #ICS #Nuclear #LNG
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June 14, 2023, 7:20 a.m.

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Retweeted post by @Joachim Moxon
Joachim Moxon
Japanese nuclear generation was up 124% on year in May. This is mainly because of the unusually low output during the same period last year. We expect to hit a new high post-Fukushima in July with or without Takahama 1-2 restarts, which remain unconfirmed. #ICIS #Nuclear #LNG
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June 13, 2023, 2:59 p.m.

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Yikes! Norway’s Nyhamna #natgas processing plant gonna be offline much longer than initially expected, impacting output from Ormen Lange and Aasta Hansteen fields. The extra 25days arguably is an equivalent of 2bcm lost to European supply. #TTF bouncing higher in response.

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June 13, 2023, 2:23 p.m.

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Following maintenance that ended on 12 June, #Gazprom’s #TurkStream is flowing #natgas into Europe at similar rates as before the planned outage. That is to say, only about half utilised. #TTF

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June 13, 2023, 10:52 a.m.

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Retweeted post by @Joachim Moxon
Joachim Moxon
LNG send-out in Bangladesh is at a record high, averaging 886mcf/day so far in June.Demand is about the same as June last year but LNG is making up for lower domestic production. #ICIS #LNG

June 13, 2023, 6:12 a.m.

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Retweeted post by @Joachim Moxon
Joachim Moxon
Coal-fired generation in Bangladesh has more than doubled since late last year, but is set to fall on month in June for the first time since November, even as new large coal plants start commercial operations. The Payra plant is shut because of coal shortage. #ICIS #LNG

June 13, 2023, 6:12 a.m.

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The Belgian regulator has approved the merger of the #Zeebrugge and #ZTP #natgas hubs. So if you index off our Heren Zee numbers, you'll wanna know about this @ICISOfficial pricing consultation. 🇧🇪 #TTF

June 12, 2023, 9:01 a.m.

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We @ICISOfficial are looking for a new Quantitative Analyst for #natgas & #LNG. (I'm not the hiring manager, so pls don't ask me any Qs)

June 8, 2023, 12:19 p.m.

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The suspension of the EU #ammonia import duty added to the Euro #natgas demand reduction over the last 6m. Seems it might be around a bit longer... #TTF

Deepika Thapliyal
#Ammonia and #urea import duty suspension to stay in Europe? The European Commission has told @ICIS_sylvia it is currently preparing a report assessing the impact of the import duty suspension and may submit a proposal for a 6-month extension, subject to justified evidence.

June 7, 2023, 7:51 p.m.

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After a late diversion, the #LNG Anatolia finally delivered into a power ship near Rio de Janeiro over the weekend. #Gazprom #natgas to Brazilian electricity…

June 5, 2023, 1:25 p.m.

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#Hammerfest #LNG coming back one day sooner than expected.

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June 5, 2023, 8:44 a.m.

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Just over a week until the next @ICISOfficial virtual European #natgas market training course. Not too late to sign up. I will be presenting modules on both days! #TTF #LNG

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June 5, 2023, 8:36 a.m.

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May 2023 EU+GB #natgas demand was 9% lower that May 2022 demand. Even as the #TTF price was 2/3 lower.

June 5, 2023, 7:30 a.m.

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I told everyone this yesterday #Gazprom... keep up.

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June 2, 2023, 2:07 p.m.

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"Nobody out there is going to go and sign a new contract with #Gazprom in any significant volume," said TMM, head of global gas analytics at @ICISOfficial.

June 2, 2023, 11:12 a.m.

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Picture of Tom Marzec-Manser

#TTF price response certainly still key By my count (and just v 3yr ave 2019-21) in DE, industrial demand in May was down 29%, while Comm/Res a mega 34%. Power fairly flat though. In GB, 8% cut in gas-to-power, with Comm/Res saving 27%. Industry saving 63% (but share is v small).

June 2, 2023, 9:21 a.m.

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Picture of Tom Marzec-Manser

European #natgas demand down 19% in May vs 2017-21 ave, early @ICISOfficial data show. In April, savings were 10% below ave. EU only -18% DE -21% GB -24% IT -11% NL -29% FR -23% ES -5% Not temp adjusted. #ONGT #TTF

June 2, 2023, 5:25 a.m.

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The majority of those checking Gassco for a #Hammerfest update yesterday, were checking 3-4+ times an hour… Thanks to the 110 peeps who voted. #TTF #natgas

Tom Marzec-Manser
European #TTF #natgas trade has closed for the day. It’s been more than 6hrs since the market heard of an incident at #Hammerfest #LNG. I’ve despondently refreshed so many times and yet still no REMIT update. How many times have you checked the site today?

June 1, 2023, 4:22 p.m.

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First predication from Equinor on #Hammerfest #LNG restart is on 8-June. Only took them 25 hours to get this out. #TTF #natgas #ONGT

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June 1, 2023, 12:14 p.m.

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More than 24 hours now since the #Hammerfest leak. Still no clear Gassco REMIT update as far I can tell. Equinor put out a press release out last night. "It is too soon to say when production at the plant can be resumed."

Tom Marzec-Manser
European #TTF #natgas trade has closed for the day. It’s been more than 6hrs since the market heard of an incident at #Hammerfest #LNG. I’ve despondently refreshed so many times and yet still no REMIT update. How many times have you checked the site today?

June 1, 2023, 10:43 a.m.

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#TurkStream maintenance next week. Start of #natgas day on 5-Jun through to start of day on 12-Jun. European string currently running at just under half its 43mcm/d capacity. #Gazprom #TTF

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June 1, 2023, 9:22 a.m.

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Japan monthly #LNG imports in May-23 lowest in over a decade. #TTF

Joachim Moxon
ICIS ship tracking data is showing just above 4m tonnes of LNG to Japan last month. This would be the lowest in over a decade and quite a bit lower than the previous low of 4.8m tonnes in May 2020. #ICIS #LNG

June 1, 2023, 5:55 a.m.

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Picture of Tom Marzec-Manser

European #TTF #natgas trade has closed for the day. It’s been more than 6hrs since the market heard of an incident at #Hammerfest #LNG. I’ve despondently refreshed so many times and yet still no REMIT update. How many times have you checked the site today?

May 31, 2023, 4:10 p.m.

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Picture of Tom Marzec-Manser

#Hammerfest #LNG #TTF #natgas

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May 31, 2023, 1:50 p.m.

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Given the events of Sep-2020 at #Hammerfest, I suspect any possibility of a quick reopening will be particularly challenging from a regulatory and H&S perspective. #LNG #natgas #TTF

May 31, 2023, 11:40 a.m.

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