Agentic AI: I ran through a calculation in detail in a different post (The Exponential Growth of Progress) that estimated time spent farming in the year 1800 verse today. In the year 1800 when the global population was 1 billion, humans collectively spent around 830 billion hours growing food. Today humans spend approximately 110 billion hours growing food - even though our population is nearing 8 billion. So, we spend ~700 billion less hours to grow food even though our population is up near 8X
Dec. 4, 2023, 2:04 p.m.
The most important factors driving investment returns over the next 10 years: [Regulation & Vortexes] (and how to profit from them): There are two. First is the power dynamic between corporations and government. In the United States corporations are more powerful than government. When new laws are written it is the biggest corporations who decide what they should be and then the government puts them in place. Case in point - what is happening right now with AI regulation. Tech Giants and their C
Sept. 16, 2023, 10:04 p.m.
When AGI?: Peter Thiel once lamented: “We wanted flying cars and all we got was 140 characters”. His point was that true groundbreaking technological progress seemed to have slowed down dramatically. In the 20th century alone we got cars, planes, electricity, put a man on the moon, and invented the internet. But - so his thought process went - in the 21st century capital (and time) was sucked up mostly by companies seeking new ways to entertain us (Facebook, Twitter, Netflix) or sell us things (
Sept. 4, 2023, 2:19 p.m.
The Synths are coming. : For purposes of this post my definition of a “Synth” is a humanoid robot with at least the intellectual and emotional intelligence level of an average human. Their appearance may or may not be human, and will be determined by use case and local regulations.
June 30, 2023, 1:07 a.m.
