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Guasty Winds Investment Ideas

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Former Finance Career

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Sector Generalists
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Content

Picture of Guasty Winds Investment Ideas

Announcement: Closing Down

Dec. 11, 2023, 1:54 a.m.

No Paywall
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LGI Homes (LGIH-US): A Coiled Spring: Housing affordability remains challenged, but greenshoots are appearing. LGI is well positioned medium-term to benefit from a structural Single-Family housing shortage.

Sept. 10, 2023, 8:44 a.m.

No Paywall
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Dollar General (DG-US) - It's a trap!: I sold DG last week for a small loss. The road ahead will be hard and there are just easier stories out there.

Aug. 22, 2023, 2:52 a.m.

No Paywall
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Short Idea: AURC-US (Better Mortgage): AURC is set to De-Spac on/or about 22nd of August which will increase freefloat by nearly 1,300x. I expected the DeSpac to be met with significant selling pressure.

Aug. 17, 2023, 1:03 a.m.

No Paywall
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SMRT - Accounting vs. Reality: SMRT underlying business continues to deteriorate whilst accounting numbers paint a rosy picture.

Aug. 10, 2023, 7:38 a.m.

No Paywall
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Carlisle 2Q - Thesis playing out: Margins holding in better than expected despite a worse-than-expected de-stock. Capital returns continue.

July 28, 2023, 12:27 a.m.

No Paywall
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APLD - 4Q Review: Unpacking guidance

July 25, 2023, 2:50 a.m.

No Paywall
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APLD (Follow-up) - The shady truth about APLD's potato business: Wes Cummins claims that he sold his potato business to Applied Plasma to "provide cashflow". Bankruptcy filings say otherwise

July 11, 2023, 1:40 p.m.

No Paywall
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Applied Digital (Part One): The 40% mystery customer: I dig into local filings to show that something doesn't add up with GMR Limited, APLD's opaque 41% customer

July 7, 2023, 3:04 p.m.

No Paywall
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Accounting Shenanigans (SMRT-US): Don't be fooled by the accounting gimmicks

May 12, 2023, 1:17 a.m.

No Paywall
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Carlisle (CSL-US) 1Q23 Update: Earnings were a little soft due to higher destock than anticipated. Cyclical headwinds likely to persist for a few quarters.

April 28, 2023, 2:34 a.m.

No Paywall
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OLO's Dilemma... (part 2): Key Takeaways from follow-up work

April 25, 2023, 9:07 a.m.

No Paywall
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Open House (3288-JP): Part 1: The US$4bn market-crushing compounder that you've never heard of

April 14, 2023, 11:56 a.m.

No Paywall
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Carlisle (CSL-US) Update: GAF out with a July TPO price increase

April 4, 2023, 12:25 a.m.

No Paywall
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Short Idea - BigBear.ai (BBAI-US): Saddled with debt, loss-making and the equity is probably worthless

March 30, 2023, 11:12 a.m.

No Paywall
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Update: Presto (PRST-US) - CEO resigns: CEO resigns. Company now without CFO and CEO

March 27, 2023, 9:55 p.m.

No Paywall
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Short Idea - Presto Automation (PRST-US): Loss-making, saddled with debt and probably worthless

March 24, 2023, 4:27 a.m.

No Paywall
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OLO's Dilemma... (part 1): Is OLO a category killer, or getting killed by the category?

March 23, 2023, 10:32 a.m.

No Paywall
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Carlisle Co. (CSL-US) - A hidden gem in plain sight: This conglomerate is breaking up; its core asset is both high-quality, significantly undervalued and I believe misunderstood. I see clear catalysts for value-unlock over 3-5 years.

March 17, 2023, 3:56 a.m.

No Paywall
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Quick Latch (LTCH-US) Update..: Update on Cash and Cash Equivalents from 8-k filed thismorning

March 14, 2023, 2:30 a.m.

No Paywall
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Cleanspark Inc. (CLSK-US): A tale of corporate exuberance

March 14, 2023, 12:38 a.m.

No Paywall
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Accounting Irregularities and other potential shenanigans at SmartRent (SMRT-US): A closer look at 4Q results and some accounting irregularities that I can't wrap my head around

March 13, 2023, 1:23 a.m.

No Paywall
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SMRT follow-up - notes from the channel: Some comments from channel calls conducted in the last two years (not by me)

March 2, 2023, 12:04 a.m.

No Paywall
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SmartRent (SMRT-US) - how Charlie Munger helped me find this short: Expensive, structurally unprofitable and a serious misalignment of incentives

Feb. 12, 2023, 11:49 a.m.

No Paywall
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Latch, Inc (LTCH-US) - Update: Things aren't looking good

Jan. 11, 2023, 10:40 p.m.

No Paywall