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Value Investing Substack

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Dropbox: A Misunderstood "Outsider"

Dec. 29, 2024, 8 p.m.

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When Druckenmiller Speaks, We Listen

Nov. 29, 2024, 10:27 a.m.

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MSTR = Bitcoin (Garbage) Squared

Nov. 26, 2024, 1:25 p.m.

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CELH: KO 1989 Again? Ask Pepsi

Nov. 22, 2024, 4:30 p.m.

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How Brands Are Born

Nov. 15, 2024, 1:30 p.m.

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Why Buffett Is Selling - Lehman But Insurance

Nov. 8, 2024, 11 a.m.

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Poking Holes in Einhorn's PTON Thesis

Nov. 1, 2024, 10:33 a.m.

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Zooming in on BABA (Part 2)

Oct. 27, 2024, 9:13 a.m.

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BABA: Recreating Michael Burry's Deep-Dive (Part 1)

Oct. 19, 2024, 10:43 a.m.

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SEA Ltd Has Already Won

Oct. 13, 2024, 12:01 p.m.

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Buy Low & Sell High: Why Is It So Difficult?: 🗞️ Read my latest Nikkei commentary... link inside!

Oct. 6, 2024, 3:46 p.m.

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Understanding Reflexivity with $INTC: George Soros: "Stop trying to make EMH happen, it's not gonna happen"

Sept. 29, 2024, 8:06 a.m.

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Dollar General: 6% NM? No Longer Necessary: At depressed valuations, 6% Net Margin is unnecessary. But what does it have to be?

Sept. 22, 2024, 9:45 a.m.

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Why A Recession May NOT Happen In 2025: Contrarian's View and Why Markets are Inefficient in the Short-Term

Sept. 15, 2024, 4:17 a.m.

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Why Berkshire Is Buying SIRI: It's basically OXY

Sept. 8, 2024, 10:50 a.m.

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INTC: Cigar Butt / Margin of Safety? (Part 2) : Wells Fargo 2024: Solvency Issues Overblown

Aug. 25, 2024, 1:10 p.m.

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Intel Primer: No Equity Dilution Necessary: There are some chips that TSMC can manufacture for Uncle Sam. For everything else, there's INTC.

Aug. 18, 2024, 4:54 a.m.

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INTC Primer: No Equity Dilution Necessary (Part 1): Some chips can be manufactured for Uncle Sam at TSMC. For everything else, there's Intel.

Aug. 18, 2024, 4:54 a.m.

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Why Buffett BOUGHT Apple: The Isaac Newton of our time

Aug. 11, 2024, 1:15 p.m.

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How 2 Nerds Destroyed The World: Unwinding of the Yen Carry Trade and why it's NBD

Aug. 7, 2024, 6:53 a.m.

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The Intelligent Gambler: 10% x 1,000 > 90% x 100: The Art of War & Politics in Markets: Distilling Risk out of Leverage

Aug. 4, 2024, 7:59 a.m.

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Shopify: Disrupting Salesforce, not Amazon (Part 2): Enterprise: 15% Revenue CAGR over the next 15 years, even before AI

July 28, 2024, 9:08 a.m.

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Shopify: Can 600x P/E Be Undervalued? (Part 1): SaaS Incremental Rev/S&M spend has peaked, and Interest Rates might be falling. Point of Maximum Pessimism?

July 21, 2024, 3:41 p.m.

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GameStop: Not the Same Stock: As it was in 2021 or 2019 (Valuation inside)

July 14, 2024, 9:38 a.m.

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VLRS: The Next SEA Ltd? (Part 2): 15% Revenue CAGR at a normalized P/E of 6.8x

July 7, 2024, 9:15 a.m.

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