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@long_equity @rsandler21969 @hermansen_folke yes, I know the formula. My point is that P/E already incorporates what the market expects in terms of growth prospects, and not just next years growth but the multi year growth trajectory.
Long Equity
@AlphaSeeker84 @rsandler21969 @hermansen_folke P/E is current price divided by current earnings
Forward P/E is current price divided by forecasted earnings
@long_equity @rsandler21969 @hermansen_folke Doesn't the current valuation already factor in consensus growth estimates? To generate excess returns, one must hold a unique perspective (and be right) on growth, its sustainability, margins, etc.
Long Equity
@rsandler21969 @hermansen_folke That’s not the point at all. It shows that both growth and valuation matter. In reality growth matters more.
The current $TSLA streak of 13 straight positive days is the longest streak in company history and the 2nd highest in terms of performance. What a time to be alive
Housing market will continue to stay tight for the foreseeable future. Lower rates or higher unemployment the only two variables that can improve the supply/demand imbalance
$NDAQ deal for Adenza seems expensive
- 55/45 cash/stock with cash funded by debt 5.5-5.7%
- 31x EBITDA and even higher on FCF basis
- TB lock up for 6m of 50% of shares and 18 for other 50%. Liquidity risk after the lockup
- inc solutions business rev growth from 7-10% to 8-11%
Genesys reached $1B in ARR 4-years after getting to $100M
- Over 75% of new 1QFY24 customer logos were SMBs
- A nearly 110% y/y increase in customers implementing digital and voicebots from Genesys
- An over 3x y/y increase in conversational and predictive AI revenue
- equities with US$18 billion of net inflows this past week. Domestic US equity saw US$11.4 billion of net inflows
- US ETFs focused on Japan equities saw their largest weekly inflows (~US$1.1 billion) since January 2021
If you own $HD $LOW $FND or other home improvement & housing linked names like $POOL or $SITE, Zonda is a great resource for industry data
Zonda recently hosted a webinar that had some very interesting data points
Some key notes
@ArdaCapital @SaaSletter @GavinSBaker @BucknSF @Kellblog @BillBrewsterTBB Spot on. Most of the incremental benefit from AI is likely to accrue to the consumer and a few companies who will be the beneficiaries of the capex shift into AI
Imagine pretending to be a liberal who is concerned with equity and being anti charter schools
Bronx Zeta Charter School students receive free chess lessons from a local chess master
The spread between 10-year Treasurys and 30-year fixed mortgage rates remains historically wide, hovering around 300 bps for much of April and early May, more than a full percentage point above its long-run average
RAG models combine parametric and non-parametric memory for language generation. The idea behind RAG models is to retrieve relevant documents, feed them into a Seq2Seq model, and then use that information to generate outputs
$ESTC vector search functionality combined with traditional text-based search, as well as other advanced search capabilities like BM25 (ranking algorithm) and hybrid search all on one platform could be something. @BucknSF think this makes them a player in the AI use case space?
$ZS 3Q23 ER thoughts:
Didn't realize how close we were to calling it a tactical opportunity in the last tweet on May 4.
It is funny to see how the market jumped in and out of $ZS so rapidly without considering its long-term value but short-term noisy signals from channels.…
@Blackrock violates its own ESG guidelines on how it wants to be treated as shareholder when it is instead the fund manager. Should ESG conscious clients across their $9 trillion AUM hold them accountable?